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Economic Indicators

March 2025

The Chamber tracks key statistics highlighting the Detroit Region’s economic well-being and offers analysis on how it will impact the business community.

Expand for Monthly Economic Indicator Data

Consumer Sentiment

Consumers are Wary. Sentiment Falls for the Third Month

The University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers, consumer sentiment registered at 57.9 in March 2025. According to Surveys of Consumers director, Joanne Hsu, consumer sentiment slid another 11% this month, with declines seen consistently across all groups by age, education, income, wealth, political affiliations, and geographic regions. Sentiment has now fallen for three consecutive months and is currently down 22% from December 2024. The Consumer Sentiment Index is a statistical measurement that provides an economic indicator of consumers’ opinion and optimism of the state of the economy.

Chamber Perspective

Chamber Perspective Economic Indicators

Recent economic indicators show an economy that appears stable, with jobs still being created and inflation coming in slightly better than expected, decreasing to an annual rate of 2.8% in February. However, consumers’ optimism about the economy continues to slip, decreasing 11% in March 2025 for three consecutive months. Sentiment is currently down 22% from December 2024, reflecting rising anxiety about the economic outlook. Many consumers cited the high level of uncertainty around policy and other economic factors, making long-term planning difficult. Furthermore, impacts of newly implemented economic policies, including on tariffs, are yet to be reflected in economic data releases.

Register for the Detroit Regional Chamber’s 2025 State of the Region on April 1 to learn more about the future impacts of tariff policies on consumers and businesses and get an update on leading economic indicators impacting the Region.


The Manufacturing PMI®

registered at 50.3%, manufacturing sector expanded for the second consecutive month.

The Manufacturing PMI®

Detroit MSA Unemployment Rate

increased to 5.1% in January 2025, 1.1 points above the national rate.

Detroit MSA Unemployment Rate

Consumer Price Index

increased to a rate of 2.8% in February 2025.

Consumer Price Index

Michigan and US Indicators

Monthly Unemployment Rate

Detroit Region’s Unemployment Rate Rose for the Fifth Consecutive Month

Detroit Region’s January 2024 monthly unemployment rate increased to 5.1%, falling 1.1 percentage points below the national rate of 4.0%.



U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product

U.S. Economy Grew at a 2.3% Rate in Q4 2024

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to the advance estimate. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent. The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected increases in consumer spending and government spending that were partly offset by a decrease in investment.

The GDP is measured as the total market value of the goods and services produced within a specific geography during a given time period. Gross domestic product is a key indicator of the general health of the economy and its performance, with increases indicative of economic growth.

Consumer Price Index

Progress on Inflation Remains Stubborn in January

In February, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 0.2 percent, seasonally adjusted, and rose 2.8 percent over the last 12 months, not seasonally adjusted. The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in February (SA); up 3.1 percent over the year (NSA).

 

Consumer Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment Falls for the Third Month

The University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers, consumer sentiment registered at 57.9 in March 2025. According to Surveys of Consumers director, Joanne Hsu, consumer sentiment slid another 11% this month, with declines seen consistently across all groups by age, education, income, wealth, political affiliations, and geographic regions. Sentiment has now fallen for three consecutive months and is currently down 22% from December 2024. The Consumer Sentiment Index is a statistical measurement that provides an economic indicator of consumers’ opinion and optimism of the state of the economy.

Labor Force Participation Rate

Michigan’s Labor Force Participation Unchanged In December

The December statewide labor force participation rate remained steady at 62.2%, 0.3 percentage points below the national rate.

New Business Applications

Michigan’s New Business Applications Slow in 2024 But Above Pre-Pandemic Levels

New business applications have dropped by 9% in 2024 compared to 2023 but are still well above the pre-pandemic levels. The tightening of the credit market is most likely attributing to the continued slowing of applications in 2024.

U.S. Manufacturing PMI®

PMI® Expanded For the Second Consecutive Month in February 2025

The Manufacturing PMI® registered at 50.3% in February, 0.6 percentage point higher compared to the 50.9 percent reported in January according to the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®). According to Timothy Fiore, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing®, U.S. Although the PMI® took a step back in February, it increased by four percentage points over the three previous months, with the most recent bump in January finally returning the manufacturing sector to expansion. Of the five sub indexes that directly factor into the Manufacturing PMI®, two (Production and Supplier Deliveries) were in expansion territory, compared to four in January. Both the Employment and the New Orders indexes returned to contraction.

ISM® states a reading above 50% shows that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50% indicates that it is generally contracting. The index is based on a monthly survey of supply chain managers and measures general direction of economic trends in manufacturing and other sectors.

Detroit Metropolitan Airport Total Passengers

Highest Passenger Traffic in 2024 since 2019

DTW passenger traffic totaled almost 33 million passengers in 2024, highest volumes seen in 5 years. Volume traffic increased by 1.5 million more passengers or 5% from 2023.

Automotive Economic Indicators

Annual U.S. Light Vehicle Sales (SAAR)

New-Vehicle Sales Pace (SAAR) Increased In February 2025

The February SAAR increased 3.2% to 16.0 million, up from January’s 15.5 million. New light-vehicle sales were down 0.7% year over year in February with one fewer selling day.

 

 

Monthly U.S. Light Vehicle Sales

Vehicle Sales Increased 10% In February 2025

Vehicles sales increased by 10% compared to the previous month. Vehicle sales totaled 1.25 million units in February 2025.

U.S. Automotive Production

U.S. Auto Production Slows Heading into 2025

In January 2025, U.S. auto production amounted to 95,800 unit, a decline of 22% year-over-year.

Michigan Vehicle Production

Michigan Vehicle Production Decreased in December

Michigan motor vehicle production decreased in December to 157,700 total units. Michigan’s December production was 9.2 percent lower than November’s production and 29.9 percent above the level in December 2023. Nationally, motor vehicle production totaled 750,971 units, 7,418 units higher than the 743,553 units from a year ago. In December, Michigan’s car production was 6,981 units while the State’s truck production was 150,684 units.

Automotive Manufacturing Employment

Vehicle Manufacturing Employment Slightly Up in December

Michigan’s automotive manufacturing employment totaled 163,600 in December 2024, increasing slightly from the previous month.

Quarterly Economic Indicators

View the latest report from January 2025.